Facilitated Prior Elicitation with the Wolfram CDF
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Facilitated Prior Elicitation with the Wolfram CDF
One of the key advantages of the Bayesian paradigm is the ability to incorporate past experiences and expert opinion into statistical analyses. However, the principled, precise distillation of expert opinion into a probability distribution, a task known as prior elicitation, is challenging and involves considerations from psychology, computational science, software engineering, and other relate...
متن کاملFacilitated Prior Elicitation with the Wolfram CDF
One of the key advantages of the Bayesian paradigm is the ability to incorporate past experiences and expert opinion into statistical analyses. However, the principled, precise distillation of expert opinion into a probability distribution, a task known as prior elicitation, is challenging and involves considerations from psychology, computational science, software engineering, and other relate...
متن کاملPrior Elicitation, Assessment and Inference with a Dirichlet Prior
Methods are developed for eliciting a Dirichlet prior based upon stating bounds on the individual probabilities that hold with high prior probability. This approach to selecting a prior is applied to a contingency table problem where it is demonstrated how to assess the prior with respect to the bias it induces as well as how to check for prior-data conflict. It is shown that the assessment of ...
متن کاملPower Prior Elicitation in Bayesian Quantile Regression
We address a quantile dependent prior for Bayesian quantile regression. We extend the idea of the power prior distribution in Bayesian quantile regression by employing the likelihood function that is based on a location-scale mixture representation of the asymmetric Laplace distribution. The propriety of the power prior is one of the critical issues in Bayesian analysis. Thus, we discuss the pr...
متن کاملPrior Elicitation in Multiple Change-point Models
This paper discusses Bayesian inference in change-point models. Existing approaches involve placing a (possibly hierarchical) prior over a known number of change-points. We show how two popular priors have some potentially undesirable properties (e.g. allocating excessive prior weight to change-points near the end of the sample) and discuss how these properties relate to imposing a fixed number...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Biometrics & Biostatistics International Journal
سال: 2016
ISSN: 2378-315X
DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2016.03.00081